Lens vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
ASN
1 - 1
LEN
39%
27%
33%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1986 |
LEN
2 - 2
NAN
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
REN
1 - 2
LEN
40%
28%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
DUN
2 - 0
LEN
66%
18%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
LEN
2 - 1
SPO
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
LHA
1 - 3
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1986 |
PSG
1 - 1
LHA
73%
16%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
LHA
3 - 0
ASN
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1986 |
SPO
0 - 0
LHA
48%
26%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
LHA
3 - 1
SOC
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |