Lens vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
9.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
ASS
1 - 1
LEN
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1995 |
CHO
0 - 0
LEN
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1995 |
LEN
1 - 0
FCM
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
FCG
0 - 1
LEN
21%
27%
52%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
LEN
3 - 1
PSG
29%
26%
44%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
GUI
2 - 2
LHA
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
STR
0 - 0
GUI
77%
14%
9%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
GUI
2 - 0
CAN
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
MON
1 - 0
GUI
77%
14%
9%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1995 |
GUI
0 - 0
FCG
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |