Europa League 1/32
Global 1-2
Lens vs Dundee United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
LEN
1 - 3
LIL
63%
21%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
GIR
0 - 0
LEN
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1986 |
LEN
0 - 1
RAC
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1986 |
MET
2 - 0
LEN
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1986 |
LEN
2 - 0
ASS
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
DUN
2 - 2
CEL
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
DUN
0 - 2
DUN
55%
23%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
HIB
1 - 2
DUN
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
DUN
3 - 0
STM
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
AYR
0 - 3
DUN
25%
24%
51%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | -1 |