Lens vs Dijon FCO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
LEN
2 - 2
GIR
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
LIL
2 - 1
LEN
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
LEN
0 - 0
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
LMU
3 - 2
LEN
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
LEN
3 - 2
SOC
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dijon FCO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2008 |
AJA
1 - 1
DIJ
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2008 |
DIJ
1 - 3
ANG
49%
28%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2008 |
NIO
3 - 0
DIJ
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
DIJ
1 - 0
GUI
45%
28%
28%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2008 |
DIJ
2 - 2
TRO
38%
29%
34%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |