Lens vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
TFC
0 - 2
LEN
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
LEN
1 - 3
PSG
11%
20%
69%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
REN
2 - 0
LEN
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LEN
0 - 0
CAE
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ETG
2 - 1
LEN
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
ORL
1 - 1
LUS
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 1
TRO
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
ANG
3 - 0
LUS
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
LUS
3 - 2
AJA
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
DIJ
2 - 1
LUS
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |