Lens vs Clermont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AUX
1 - 2
LEN
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 0
NIO
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
NAN
4 - 0
LEN
46%
26%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
LEN
0 - 4
MON
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
LEN
33%
28%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Clermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
CLE
2 - 1
IST
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
ARL
0 - 2
CLE
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
CLE
0 - 0
STL
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
DIJ
1 - 1
CLE
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
CLE
1 - 1
TOU
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |