Europa League 1/16
Global 4-0
Lens vs Chornomorets Odessa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1995 |
LEN
0 - 1
GUI
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
ASS
1 - 1
LEN
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1995 |
CHO
0 - 0
LEN
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1995 |
LEN
1 - 0
FCM
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
FCG
0 - 1
LEN
21%
27%
52%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Chornomorets Odessa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1995 |
CHO
2 - 0
NYV
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1995 |
MFK
1 - 2
CHO
23%
28%
49%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1995 |
CHO
0 - 0
LEN
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1995 |
FKT
2 - 1
CHO
25%
28%
47%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
CHO
2 - 1
DNI
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |