Lens vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
MON
2 - 0
LEN
74%
17%
10%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2005 |
LEN
0 - 3
ASS
57%
25%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
LEN
0 - 1
IST
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
ASS
0 - 0
LEN
37%
28%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
SAI
0 - 4
LEN
8%
20%
73%
|
84 | 21 | 63 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 2
AUX
27%
29%
45%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
AUX
1 - 1
CAE
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
MON
5 - 2
CAE
78%
15%
8%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 0
PSG
27%
28%
45%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
FCM
0 - 2
CAE
24%
24%
52%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |