Lens vs CA Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2013 |
LMU
2 - 1
LEN
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
LEN
1 - 1
IST
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
GUI
7 - 0
LEN
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
LEN
0 - 0
TOU
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
STL
1 - 1
LEN
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2013 |
CAB
2 - 1
LUS
39%
25%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
QUE
1 - 3
CAB
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
CAB
3 - 1
LUZ
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
FCR
3 - 2
CAB
49%
27%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
MET
1 - 1
CAB
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |