Lens vs Girondins Bordeaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
47.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
CAE
0 - 0
LEN
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
LEN
2 - 2
SED
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
CLE
1 - 0
LEN
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LEN
1 - 0
AUX
36%
28%
37%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
NIO
0 - 0
LEN
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Girondins Bordeaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GIR
4 - 2
MPL
44%
27%
30%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
GIR
47%
26%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 1
LOR
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TFC
0 - 0
GIR
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
GIR
2 - 3
SLB
31%
27%
43%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |