Lens vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
ANG
3 - 2
LEN
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
LEN
2 - 0
GAZ
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
DIJ
2 - 1
LEN
45%
26%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
STA
0 - 3
LEN
13%
20%
67%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
LHA
2 - 2
LEN
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 1
GUI
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
TOU
3 - 1
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 0
IST
42%
27%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
LMU
2 - 0
CHA
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 1
SED
38%
27%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |