Lens vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1994 |
LYO
1 - 2
LEN
51%
27%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1994 |
LEN
2 - 0
MET
49%
27%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1994 |
ANG
1 - 2
LEN
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
TRE
0 - 5
LEN
12%
23%
66%
|
75 | 8 | 67 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
LEN
2 - 0
CAE
46%
28%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1994 |
FCR
2 - 0
BAS
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1994 |
BAS
2 - 1
VAL
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
FCM
0 - 2
BAS
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
LMU
0 - 0
BAS
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1993 |
BAS
1 - 0
IST
66%
21%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |