Lens vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1980 |
GIR
1 - 1
LEN
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1980 |
LEN
0 - 1
NIC
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1980 |
NÎM
3 - 1
LEN
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1980 |
LEN
1 - 1
VAL
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1980 |
ANG
2 - 1
LEN
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1980 |
BAS
1 - 0
PSG
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1980 |
BRE
3 - 0
BAS
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1980 |
BAS
2 - 0
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1980 |
STL
3 - 0
BAS
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1980 |
BAS
1 - 0
NAN
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |