Europa League 1/32
Global 13-0
Lens vs Avenir Beggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.5%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
12.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
17.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20.9%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
17.5%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
3%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
7.9%
1.6%
Win probability
0.23
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
LIL
1 - 3
LEN
28%
30%
42%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1995 |
LEN
1 - 0
REN
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
NIC
1 - 1
LEN
36%
29%
36%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
LEN
2 - 2
LYO
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
AUX
0 - 1
LEN
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Avenir Beggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1995 |
AVE
1 - 1
ORE
10%
21%
69%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1995 |
ORE
0 - 0
AVE
92%
7%
1%
|
46 | 77 | 31 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1994 |
GAL
4 - 0
AVE
96%
4%
1%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1994 |
AVE
1 - 5
GAL
7%
15%
78%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1993 |
RBK
1 - 0
AVE
97%
3%
0%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | 0 |