Lens vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2018 |
TOU
4 - 2
LEN
28%
26%
47%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 0
PFC
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 0
LEN
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
LEN
3 - 3
LHA
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
NIO
2 - 2
LEN
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2018 |
AUX
1 - 1
AJA
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 2
AUX
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
AUX
1 - 4
REI
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ASN
2 - 1
AUX
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
AUX
1 - 2
CLE
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |