Lens vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
27.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
MET
2 - 2
LEN
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
LEN
0 - 1
NIC
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
NAN
2 - 0
LEN
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1988 |
LEN
1 - 0
ASS
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1988 |
RAC
1 - 0
LEN
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
AUX
2 - 0
MAR
51%
27%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
AUX
3 - 0
RAC
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
MET
1 - 0
AUX
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1988 |
AUX
2 - 0
NIC
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1988 |
NAN
0 - 0
AUX
53%
27%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |