Lens vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1986 |
STL
1 - 1
LEN
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1986 |
LEN
1 - 1
TFC
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1986 |
LEN
0 - 0
MET
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1986 |
MON
1 - 2
LEN
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1986 |
LEN
0 - 0
STR
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1986 |
AUX
1 - 2
PSG
44%
26%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1986 |
ASN
1 - 1
AUX
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1986 |
AUX
2 - 0
STL
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1986 |
NAN
2 - 1
AUX
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1986 |
AUX
2 - 0
LIL
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |