Europa League 1/16
Global 5-4
Lens vs Antwerp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1983 |
NAN
0 - 0
LEN
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1983 |
LEN
3 - 1
ASN
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
GIR
3 - 2
LEN
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
LEN
2 - 1
GEN
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
LEN
0 - 0
NÎM
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Antwerp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
ANT
0 - 1
BEE
71%
18%
12%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
LIE
4 - 1
ANT
39%
28%
32%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1983 |
ANT
4 - 2
ZUR
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1983 |
ANT
4 - 0
LIE
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
THO
2 - 2
ANT
42%
28%
31%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |