Europa League Last 16
Global 1-2
Lens vs Anderlecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1983 |
BRE
2 - 1
LEN
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1983 |
LEN
5 - 1
SPO
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1983 |
LEN
2 - 1
STL
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1983 |
ANT
2 - 3
LEN
64%
20%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1983 |
FCR
0 - 2
LEN
41%
27%
31%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
AND
2 - 1
MOL
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1983 |
SDL
2 - 3
AND
50%
24%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1983 |
BAN
2 - 2
AND
34%
25%
41%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1983 |
AND
2 - 2
ANT
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
AND
2 - 0
BAN
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |