Lens vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 1
RED
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
MET
0 - 0
LEN
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 1
WSB
59%
23%
17%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 0
TUB
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 0
NAN
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
LHA
1 - 0
AJA
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 0
DIJ
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 2
TFC
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 1
BAS
21%
24%
55%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 1
CAB
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |