Lens U19 vs Montfermeil Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
8º
3º
39
3º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
86% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 2
LEN
16%
19%
65%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
LEN
1 - 1
SEV
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
ARS
0 - 2
LEN
25%
20%
55%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LIL
2 - 2
LEN
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LEN
2 - 2
CAE
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Montfermeil Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
AMI
31%
22%
47%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
HAV
40%
22%
38%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 1
MON
13%
18%
69%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
74%
16%
11%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
MON
22%
21%
57%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |