Lens U19 vs Dunkerque U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
8º
3º
40
3º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
86% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
LEN
2 - 1
PSV
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AMI
1 - 1
LEN
42%
23%
36%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LEN
2 - 1
PSG
44%
22%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LEN
5 - 0
REI
68%
17%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
LEN
1 - 0
ARS
58%
20%
23%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dunkerque U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DKQ
3 - 3
REI
34%
21%
46%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
HAV
3 - 7
DKQ
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DKQ
1 - 3
MFC
86%
10%
5%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
0 - 4
DKQ
43%
22%
35%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DKQ
1 - 0
CHA
50%
22%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |