Lens U19 vs Caen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
5º
1º
33
5º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
GON
0 - 5
LEN
12%
16%
72%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
DRA
1 - 1
LEN
16%
19%
64%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LEN
1 - 0
LIL
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
AMI
4 - 0
LEN
46%
22%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LEN
3 - 0
REI
70%
16%
14%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 1
LIL
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AMI
1 - 2
CAE
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 0
REI
55%
20%
25%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
HAV
0 - 0
CAE
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 3
ORL
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |