Lens II vs Villemomble Sports analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
AAC
1 - 1
LEN
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 3
LEN
47%
26%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 0
LIL
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 2
LEN
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
AUB
3 - 1
LEN
54%
24%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Villemomble Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 1
VIL
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAB
18%
26%
56%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 0
ALF
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
DRA
1 - 1
VIL
53%
25%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
AAC
28%
29%
43%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |