Lens II vs Chantilly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+119%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
2º
37
1º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LEN
0 - 1
MAR
73%
18%
10%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 3
LEN
28%
25%
48%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LEN
5 - 2
VIM
73%
15%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AAC
0 - 2
LEN
22%
22%
55%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LEN
6 - 0
COM
83%
12%
5%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Chantilly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
ESL
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AMI
3 - 0
CHA
58%
20%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
4 - 2
LIL
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 1
LON
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 3
VIM
33%
23%
45%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |