Lens II vs Sénart Moissy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 1
LEN
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LEN
1 - 1
PSG
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
LEN
40%
29%
31%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LEN
1 - 1
VAL
58%
23%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ALF
1 - 1
LEN
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sénart Moissy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SEN
0 - 3
DUN
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CAB
0 - 0
SEN
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SEN
0 - 1
LIL
43%
27%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
PSG
0 - 2
SEN
55%
25%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SEN
1 - 0
AUB
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |