Lens II vs St Geneviève analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 1
LEN
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
LEN
0 - 1
SPI
24%
24%
52%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
LEN
1 - 1
SCH
55%
23%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
LEN
23%
23%
55%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
MET
0 - 0
LEN
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
St Geneviève
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
STG
0 - 1
OLY
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BOB
1 - 1
STG
56%
25%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 1
STG
36%
28%
37%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
STG
1 - 2
GOB
29%
28%
43%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 4
STG
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +2 |