Lens II vs St Geneviève analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
SCH
3 - 2
LEN
36%
26%
39%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
LEN
6 - 2
SPI
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
LUS
3 - 1
LEN
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
LEN
0 - 1
BOB
64%
21%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ARR
1 - 1
LEN
23%
23%
53%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
St Geneviève
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
STG
1 - 3
SED
29%
26%
46%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
BEL
0 - 1
STG
38%
29%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
IRI
3 - 2
STG
46%
27%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
STG
2 - 1
SCH
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SPI
2 - 0
STG
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |