Lens II vs Poissy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
AVI
0 - 2
LEN
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
LEH
3 - 1
LEN
44%
24%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
LEN
2 - 0
MAN
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
QUE
3 - 2
LEN
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 1
LEN
32%
29%
39%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Poissy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
POI
1 - 0
MAN
60%
23%
18%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
POI
0 - 1
MET
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 0
POI
41%
28%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
LEH
1 - 2
POI
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
POI
1 - 2
STR
16%
23%
61%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |