Lens II vs Metz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AAC
3 - 0
LEN
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 4
IVR
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AMN
1 - 3
LEN
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 1
FCA
49%
24%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 0
LEN
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MET
0 - 0
COM
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
MET
33%
26%
40%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MET
1 - 2
ROY
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
MET
21%
27%
53%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MET
1 - 1
LIL
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |