Lens II vs Maur Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FEI
1 - 2
LEN
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
SPI
1 - 2
LEN
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BEL
0 - 1
LEN
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
LEN
3 - 0
SED
19%
23%
58%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LEN
0 - 1
SCH
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SML
0 - 1
SED
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SML
0 - 0
STG
50%
26%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SCH
0 - 2
SML
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
SML
3 - 1
LUS
28%
26%
47%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
BOB
1 - 1
SML
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |