Lens II vs Maur Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ASB
1 - 2
LEN
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
FLE
1 - 3
LEN
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
LEN
4 - 2
VCH
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
LEN
2 - 3
SED
18%
24%
59%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 1
POI
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SML
0 - 0
REI
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
SML
0 - 0
POI
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
VCH
0 - 3
SML
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
IRI
2 - 1
SML
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
FBB
2 - 0
SML
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |