Lens II vs Olympique Marcquois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
10%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
2º
44
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 3
LEN
28%
25%
48%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LEN
5 - 2
VIM
73%
15%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AAC
0 - 2
LEN
22%
22%
55%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LEN
6 - 0
COM
83%
12%
5%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
USM
1 - 0
LEN
21%
22%
58%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Olympique Marcquois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 0
ESL
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AMI
3 - 0
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
OLY
30%
26%
44%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
MAR
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
CAM
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 8 | 25 | +1 |