Lens II vs Mantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
QUE
3 - 2
LEN
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 1
LEN
32%
29%
39%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
LEN
2 - 0
CAB
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
LIL
1 - 3
LEN
37%
26%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
LEN
0 - 0
COM
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 1
DRA
34%
26%
39%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 3
AVI
38%
26%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
LEH
4 - 0
MAN
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 1
MET
27%
28%
45%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 2
MAN
53%
28%
20%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |