Lens II vs Lille II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
2º
14º
2º
9
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
9 | 52 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
|
10º
|
3 | 49 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 49 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 45 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 41 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 37 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
2º
|
8 | 37 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 34 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 31 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 29 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 23 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 15 |
14º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
15% | 36% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 2
LEN
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LEN
4 - 0
FEI
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LEN
0 - 1
VAL
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
LEN
17%
19%
64%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LEN
3 - 1
VIM
73%
15%
11%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
5 - 0
OCP
82%
12%
6%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 2
CHA
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SAI
0 - 1
LIL
16%
19%
65%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 1
SAI
53%
21%
25%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 0
LPV
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |