Lens II vs Lille II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
14º
3º
20
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 48 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 46 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 43 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 42 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 41 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 37 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 37 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 34 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 31 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 31 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 28 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 25 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 21 |
14º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 2
LEN
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LEN
4 - 0
FEI
37%
26%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LEN
0 - 1
VAL
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
LEN
17%
19%
64%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LEN
3 - 1
VIM
73%
15%
11%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
5 - 0
OCP
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 2
CHA
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SAI
0 - 1
LIL
16%
19%
65%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 1
SAI
53%
21%
25%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 0
LPV
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |