Lens II vs Lille II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
10º
3º
47
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
60% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PDC
1 - 2
LEN
27%
20%
53%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LEN
0 - 0
IRI
67%
18%
14%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
COM
0 - 5
LEN
16%
19%
66%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LEN
0 - 2
LPV
80%
12%
8%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
LEN
34%
26%
41%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 2
SAN
41%
28%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
DRA
1 - 1
LIL
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VIM
0 - 3
LIL
27%
22%
52%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 1
COM
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 3
LIL
32%
23%
45%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |