Lens II vs Ivry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AMN
1 - 3
LEN
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 1
FCA
49%
24%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 0
LEN
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LEN
0 - 1
CHA
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
DRA
2 - 1
LEN
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
IVR
1 - 1
COM
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 1
IVR
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
IVR
1 - 1
ROY
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
IVR
22%
28%
51%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
AAC
1 - 3
IVR
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |