Lens II vs Ivry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
40.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LEN
2 - 1
SEN
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 1
LEN
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LEN
1 - 1
PSG
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
LEN
40%
29%
31%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LEN
1 - 1
VAL
58%
23%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
IVR
3 - 1
CAB
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PSG
0 - 2
IVR
37%
29%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
IVR
3 - 0
VIL
52%
26%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 1
IVR
24%
27%
49%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
IVR
1 - 0
ALF
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |