Lens II vs Iris Club de Croix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
10º
3º
41
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
60% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
COM
0 - 5
LEN
16%
19%
66%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LEN
0 - 2
LPV
80%
12%
8%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
LEN
34%
26%
41%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
LEN
1 - 2
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LEN
2 - 0
DRA
54%
22%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Iris Club de Croix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
IRI
1 - 1
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
DRA
1 - 0
IRI
46%
26%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IRI
3 - 1
COM
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 3
IRI
57%
22%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
IRI
1 - 1
VIM
57%
21%
23%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |