Lens II vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FCS
1 - 1
LEN
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 3
LIL
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SML
1 - 1
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 3
FEI
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
IRI
1 - 0
LEN
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FLE
3 - 2
SED
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 1
FLE
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
FLE
3 - 1
STG
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 2
FLE
38%
28%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FLE
2 - 2
SPI
39%
28%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |