Lens II vs FC Calvi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 0
LEN
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LEN
0 - 1
CHA
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
DRA
2 - 1
LEN
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
LEN
0 - 0
AAC
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
AVI
0 - 3
LEN
27%
26%
48%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Calvi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 1
FCA
33%
25%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 0
FCA
55%
23%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 1
SEN
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
COM
3 - 2
FCA
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
AUX
3 - 2
FCA
49%
23%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |