Lens II vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
LIL
1 - 1
LEN
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LEN
3 - 2
AUB
46%
25%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 2
LEN
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 0
COM
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
LEN
5 - 2
ALF
67%
19%
13%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 0
CAB
35%
28%
37%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PSG
1 - 1
DUN
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
VIL
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 1
DUN
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 2
FCA
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |