Lens II vs Aubervilliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 1
LEN
49%
24%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 1
PSG
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 2
LEN
46%
25%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 0
SAN
25%
27%
48%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ESW
3 - 3
LEN
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
AUB
0 - 0
BOU
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
AAC
0 - 1
AUB
54%
25%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
AUB
0 - 1
TRO
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
IRI
3 - 2
AUB
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AUB
2 - 2
POI
28%
26%
46%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |