Lens II vs Aubervilliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
POI
1 - 3
LEN
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
LEN
2 - 0
DRA
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
VES
1 - 2
LEN
36%
27%
38%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
LEN
1 - 2
VIL
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
LIL
0 - 1
LEN
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
AUB
1 - 3
QUE
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 1
AUB
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
BEA
0 - 1
AUB
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
AUB
2 - 1
REI
60%
22%
19%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
SEN
1 - 0
AUB
20%
23%
58%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |