Lens II vs Amiens AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
AVI
0 - 3
LEN
27%
26%
48%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 3
DUN
50%
24%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LIL
1 - 1
LEN
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LEN
3 - 2
AUB
46%
25%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 2
LEN
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Amiens AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
AAC
1 - 3
CAB
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
PSG
1 - 1
AAC
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
AAC
2 - 1
VIL
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 1
AAC
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
AAC
0 - 2
ALF
62%
22%
17%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |