Lendorf vs Welzenegg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LEN
0 - 2
KMD
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
RAP
1 - 2
LEN
20%
24%
56%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 2
WOL
66%
20%
15%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
STE
0 - 0
LEN
16%
20%
63%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LEN
2 - 2
DRA
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Welzenegg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
MSA
1 - 1
WEL
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
WEL
0 - 7
WAC
13%
20%
68%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FLC
1 - 0
WEL
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
WEL
1 - 4
BLE
39%
23%
38%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
VOL
2 - 0
WEL
67%
19%
14%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |