Lendorf vs Rapid Lienz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MSA
0 - 3
LEN
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LEN
3 - 2
EAC
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
SPI
3 - 1
LEN
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LEN
2 - 2
TRE
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
VEI
1 - 1
LEN
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
EAC
1 - 1
RAP
35%
24%
41%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
RAP
0 - 1
TRE
26%
25%
49%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
FEL
5 - 0
RAP
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
RAP
1 - 2
FCH
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
WOL
1 - 3
RAP
64%
20%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |