Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-5
Lemona vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lemona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
TOL
0 - 1
LEM
65%
22%
13%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
LEM
0 - 2
ALA
58%
25%
17%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -3 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
LEM
6 - 1
CLH
45%
25%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
CAN
3 - 0
LEM
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
LEM
1 - 1
BUR
56%
24%
19%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
TOL
0 - 1
LEM
65%
22%
13%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
SDE
2 - 0
TOL
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
TOL
1 - 0
CHA
64%
23%
13%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
TOL
60%
26%
15%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
TOL
1 - 0
GER
51%
28%
21%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |