Lemona vs Guijuelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lemona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
SES
1 - 0
LEM
41%
28%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
LEM
1 - 1
RUN
42%
28%
30%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
ATH
1 - 0
LEM
51%
26%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
CFP
0 - 2
LEM
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
LEM
1 - 0
MIR
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Guijuelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
CDG
1 - 2
CFP
34%
27%
39%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
MIR
3 - 2
CDG
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
CDG
1 - 2
CUL
21%
27%
52%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
LOG
1 - 1
CDG
74%
17%
10%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CDG
2 - 1
ALF
21%
24%
55%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |