Lemona vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
31%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lemona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2004 |
LEM
3 - 1
SDA
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
DAC
0 - 1
LEM
23%
26%
51%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
LEM
4 - 1
LAU
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
UPV
1 - 3
LEM
15%
25%
60%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
LEM
0 - 0
SES
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
BUR
3 - 0
CDT
56%
26%
18%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
TAL
0 - 1
BUR
36%
31%
33%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
BUR
0 - 1
CUL
41%
29%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
MIR
0 - 0
BUR
41%
30%
30%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 3
ATB
40%
29%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |